Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 12, 2026
95 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 42 resolved Up and 53 resolved Down, or 44.2% Up. The longest run was 6 Down in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was -0.527%, in btc-updown-15m-1791845100. PolyTest recorded $1.2M of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Up | +0.0066% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791763200 |
| 00:15 | Up | +0.082% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791764100 |
| 00:30 | Down | +0.018% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791765000 |
| 00:45 | Up | +0.121% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791765900 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.0023% | $181.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791766800 |
| 01:15 | Down | -0.196% | $37.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791767700 |
| 01:30 | Down | -0.151% | $42.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791768600 |
| 01:45 | Down | +0.0032% | $8.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791769500 |
| 02:00 | Up | +0.112% | $5.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791770400 |
| 02:15 | Up | +0.098% | $84.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791771300 |
| 02:30 | Up | +0.047% | $77.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791772200 |
| 02:45 | Down | -0.071% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791773100 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.165% | $5.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791774000 |
| 03:15 | Down | -0.047% | $22.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791774900 |
| 03:30 | Down | -0.072% | $26.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791775800 |
| 03:45 | Up | +0.013% | $5.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791776700 |
| 04:00 | Down | -0.079% | $12.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791777600 |
| 04:15 | Up | +0.186% | $2.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791778500 |
| 04:30 | Up | +0.480% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791779400 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.040% | $7.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791780300 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.103% | $21.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791781200 |
| 05:15 | Down | -0.245% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791782100 |
| 05:30 | Down | -0.055% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791783000 |
| 05:45 | Up | +0.059% | $1.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791783900 |
| 06:00 | Down | -0.189% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791784800 |
| 06:15 | Down | -0.097% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791785700 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.247% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791786600 |
| 06:45 | Up | +0.283% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791787500 |
| 07:00 | Up | +0.135% | $30.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791788400 |
| 07:15 | Down | -0.239% | $9.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791789300 |
| 07:30 | Down | -0.189% | $15.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791790200 |
| 07:45 | Up | +0.033% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791791100 |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.322% | $10.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791792000 |
| 08:15 | Down | -0.053% | $7.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791792900 |
| 08:30 | Down | -0.080% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791793800 |
| 08:45 | Down | -0.126% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791794700 |
| 09:00 | Up | +0.100% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791795600 |
| 09:15 | Down | -0.157% | $2.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791796500 |
| 09:30 | Down | -0.104% | $3.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791797400 |
| 09:45 | Up | +0.217% | $9.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791798300 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.033% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791799200 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.023% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791800100 |
| 10:30 | Up | +0.025% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791801000 |
| 10:45 | Down | -0.019% | $13.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791801900 |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.112% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791802800 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.042% | $3.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791803700 |
| 11:30 | Down | -0.068% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791804600 |
| 11:45 | Up | +0.0086% | $16.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791805500 |
| 12:00 | Down | -0.034% | $18.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791806400 |
| 12:15 | Down | -0.257% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791807300 |
| 12:30 | Down | -0.354% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791808200 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.120% | $10.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791809100 |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.213% | $13.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791810000 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.036% | $11.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791810900 |
| 13:30 | Up | +0.180% | $42.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791811800 |
| 13:45 | Up | +0.310% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791812700 |
| 14:00 | Down | -0.051% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791813600 |
| 14:15 | Up | +0.044% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791814500 |
| 14:30 | Down | -0.339% | $2.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791815400 |
| 14:45 | Down | -0.112% | $24.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791816300 |
| 15:00 | Up | +0.185% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791817200 |
| 15:15 | Down | -0.073% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791818100 |
| 15:30 | Up | +0.040% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791819000 |
| 15:45 | Up | +0.015% | $6.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791819900 |
| 16:00 | Up | +0.207% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791820800 |
| 16:15 | Down | -0.086% | $3.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791821700 |
| 16:30 | Down | -0.031% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791822600 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.363% | $2.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791823500 |
| 17:00 | Up | +0.130% | $12.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791824400 |
| 17:15 | Down | -0.192% | $17.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791825300 |
| 17:30 | Down | +0.021% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791826200 |
| 17:45 | Up | +0.038% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791827100 |
| 18:00 | Down | +0.0014% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791828000 |
| 18:15 | Down | -0.011% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791828900 |
| 18:30 | Down | -0.041% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791829800 |
| 18:45 | Down | -0.029% | $14.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791830700 |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.062% | $9.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791831600 |
| 19:15 | Up | +0.400% | $14.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791832500 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.087% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791833400 |
| 19:45 | Up | +0.084% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791834300 |
| 20:00 | Up | +0.138% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791835200 |
| 20:15 | Up | +0.130% | $9.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791836100 |
| 20:30 | Up | +0.039% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791837000 |
| 21:00 | Down | -0.223% | $13.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791838800 |
| 21:15 | Up | +0.031% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791839700 |
| 21:30 | Down | -0.245% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791840600 |
| 21:45 | Down | -0.186% | $12.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791841500 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.178% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791842400 |
| 22:15 | Down | -0.145% | $5.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791843300 |
| 22:30 | Up | -0.015% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791844200 |
| 22:45 | Down | -0.527% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791845100 |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.136% | $11.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791846000 |
| 23:15 | Up | +0.015% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791846900 |
| 23:30 | Down | -0.240% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791847800 |
| 23:45 | Up | -0.010% | $6.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791848700 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.