Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 11, 2026
96 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 51 resolved Up and 45 resolved Down, or 53.1% Up. The longest run was 7 Up in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was +0.582%, in btc-updown-15m-1791733500. PolyTest recorded $1.1M of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Up | +0.048% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791676800 |
| 00:15 | Down | -0.064% | $17.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791677700 |
| 00:30 | Down | -0.017% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791678600 |
| 00:45 | Down | +0.0004% | $30.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791679500 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.034% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791680400 |
| 01:15 | Up | +0.039% | $2.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791681300 |
| 01:30 | Down | -0.012% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791682200 |
| 01:45 | Up | +0.020% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791683100 |
| 02:00 | Up | +0.020% | $81.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791684000 |
| 02:15 | Down | -0.0051% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791684900 |
| 02:30 | Up | +0.090% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791685800 |
| 02:45 | Down | -0.030% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791686700 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.140% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791687600 |
| 03:15 | Down | -0.063% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791688500 |
| 03:30 | Up | +0.063% | $5.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791689400 |
| 03:45 | Down | -0.191% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791690300 |
| 04:00 | Up | +0.051% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791691200 |
| 04:15 | Up | +0.049% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791692100 |
| 04:30 | Up | +0.112% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791693000 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.033% | $14.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791693900 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.015% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791694800 |
| 05:15 | Up | +0.035% | $12.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791695700 |
| 05:30 | Up | +0.0073% | $12.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791696600 |
| 05:45 | Down | -0.028% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791697500 |
| 06:00 | Down | -0.0001% | $8.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791698400 |
| 06:15 | Up | +0.026% | $2.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791699300 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.075% | $2.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791700200 |
| 06:45 | Up | +0.043% | $30.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791701100 |
| 07:00 | Down | -0.026% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791702000 |
| 07:15 | Down | -0.085% | $16.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791702900 |
| 07:30 | Down | -0.074% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791703800 |
| 07:45 | Up | +0.012% | $82.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791704700 |
| 08:00 | Up | +0.037% | $3.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791705600 |
| 08:15 | Down | -0.010% | $2.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791706500 |
| 08:30 | Up | +0.044% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791707400 |
| 08:45 | Down | -0.050% | $1.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791708300 |
| 09:00 | Down | -0.0017% | $1.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791709200 |
| 09:15 | Down | -0.0002% | $1.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791710100 |
| 09:30 | Up | +0.0095% | $23.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791711000 |
| 09:45 | Up | -0.011% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791711900 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.010% | $1.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791712800 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.042% | $2.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791713700 |
| 10:30 | Down | -0.026% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791714600 |
| 10:45 | Up | +0.026% | $24.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791715500 |
| 11:00 | Up | +0.012% | $34.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791716400 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.070% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791717300 |
| 11:30 | Down | -0.011% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791718200 |
| 11:45 | Up | +0.128% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791719100 |
| 12:00 | Up | +0.069% | $78.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791720000 |
| 12:15 | Down | -0.104% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791720900 |
| 12:30 | Up | +0.040% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791721800 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.071% | $46.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791722700 |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.015% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791723600 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.011% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791724500 |
| 13:30 | Down | -0.0024% | $5.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791725400 |
| 13:45 | Down | -0.0072% | $10.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791726300 |
| 14:00 | Up | +0.014% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791727200 |
| 14:15 | Down | +0.0039% | $105.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791728100 |
| 14:30 | Up | +0.048% | $31.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791729000 |
| 14:45 | Down | -0.0054% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791729900 |
| 15:00 | Up | -0.0002% | $26.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791730800 |
| 15:15 | Up | +0.014% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791731700 |
| 15:30 | Up | +0.332% | $10.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791732600 |
| 15:45 | Up | +0.582% | $5.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791733500 |
| 16:00 | Down | -0.054% | $9.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791734400 |
| 16:15 | Up | +0.080% | $7.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791735300 |
| 16:30 | Up | +0.011% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791736200 |
| 16:45 | Up | -0.032% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791737100 |
| 17:00 | Down | -0.087% | $9.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791738000 |
| 17:15 | Up | +0.191% | $6.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791738900 |
| 17:30 | Up | +0.0014% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791739800 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.208% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791740700 |
| 18:00 | Down | +0.015% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791741600 |
| 18:15 | Up | +0.047% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791742500 |
| 18:30 | Down | -0.136% | $2.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791743400 |
| 18:45 | Down | -0.099% | $9.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791744300 |
| 19:00 | Up | +0.034% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791745200 |
| 19:15 | Down | -0.028% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791746100 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.044% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791747000 |
| 19:45 | Down | -0.065% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791747900 |
| 20:00 | Up | +0.062% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791748800 |
| 20:15 | Down | -0.093% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791749700 |
| 20:30 | Up | +0.050% | $20.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791750600 |
| 20:45 | Down | -0.0053% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791751500 |
| 21:00 | Down | -0.150% | $8.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791752400 |
| 21:15 | Down | -0.132% | $19.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791753300 |
| 21:30 | Up | +0.110% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791754200 |
| 21:45 | Down | -0.011% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791755100 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.101% | $13.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791756000 |
| 22:15 | Up | +0.032% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791756900 |
| 22:30 | Up | +0.056% | $3.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791757800 |
| 22:45 | Down | -0.047% | $2.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791758700 |
| 23:00 | Up | +0.053% | $6.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791759600 |
| 23:15 | Up | +0.034% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791760500 |
| 23:30 | Down | -0.030% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791761400 |
| 23:45 | Up | +0.088% | $2.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791762300 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.