Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 10, 2026
96 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 45 resolved Up and 51 resolved Down, or 46.9% Up. The longest run was 6 Down in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was +0.182%, in btc-updown-15m-1791641700. PolyTest recorded $939.5K of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Down | +0.0099% | $22.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791590400 |
| 00:15 | Down | -0.030% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791591300 |
| 00:30 | Down | -0.077% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791592200 |
| 00:45 | Up | +0.019% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791593100 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.139% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791594000 |
| 01:15 | Down | -0.065% | $21.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791594900 |
| 01:30 | Up | +0.049% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791595800 |
| 01:45 | Up | +0.033% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791596700 |
| 02:00 | Down | -0.0084% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791597600 |
| 02:15 | Down | -0.070% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791598500 |
| 02:30 | Down | +0.0001% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791599400 |
| 02:45 | Down | -0.0049% | $40.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791600300 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.048% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791601200 |
| 03:15 | Up | +0.0037% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791602100 |
| 03:30 | Down | -0.034% | $14.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791603000 |
| 03:45 | Up | +0.042% | $6.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791603900 |
| 04:00 | Up | +0.135% | $15.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791604800 |
| 04:15 | Down | -0.059% | $5.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791605700 |
| 04:30 | Up | +0.024% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791606600 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.014% | $7.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791607500 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.019% | $9.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791608400 |
| 05:15 | Down | -0.041% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791609300 |
| 05:30 | Up | +0.147% | $8.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791610200 |
| 05:45 | Up | +0.063% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791611100 |
| 06:00 | Down | -0.093% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791612000 |
| 06:15 | Up | +0.020% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791612900 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.092% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791613800 |
| 06:45 | Down | -0.139% | $8.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791614700 |
| 07:00 | Down | -0.090% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791615600 |
| 07:15 | Down | -0.036% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791616500 |
| 07:30 | Up | +0.141% | $2.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791617400 |
| 07:45 | Up | +0.055% | $3.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791618300 |
| 08:00 | Up | +0.045% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791619200 |
| 08:15 | Down | -0.022% | $7.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791620100 |
| 08:30 | Down | -0.029% | $1.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791621000 |
| 08:45 | Up | +0.055% | $6.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791621900 |
| 09:00 | Up | +0.053% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791622800 |
| 09:15 | Down | +0.024% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791623700 |
| 09:30 | Down | -0.020% | $25.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791624600 |
| 09:45 | Down | -0.044% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791625500 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.033% | $6.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791626400 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.034% | $41.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791627300 |
| 10:30 | Down | +0.014% | $159.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791628200 |
| 10:45 | Up | +0.058% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791629100 |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.068% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791630000 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.0079% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791630900 |
| 11:30 | Up | +0.106% | $2.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791631800 |
| 11:45 | Down | -0.026% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791632700 |
| 12:00 | Up | -0.0016% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791633600 |
| 12:15 | Down | -0.023% | $81.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791634500 |
| 12:30 | Up | +0.0030% | $9.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791635400 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.055% | $6.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791636300 |
| 13:00 | Up | +0.0087% | $6.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791637200 |
| 13:15 | Up | +0.046% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791638100 |
| 13:30 | Down | -0.078% | $2.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791639000 |
| 13:45 | Up | +0.047% | $11.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791639900 |
| 14:00 | Down | -0.046% | $9.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791640800 |
| 14:15 | Up | +0.182% | $10.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791641700 |
| 14:30 | Up | +0.100% | $9.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791642600 |
| 14:45 | Down | -0.048% | $8.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791643500 |
| 15:00 | Down | -0.019% | $9.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791644400 |
| 15:15 | Up | +0.013% | $2.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791645300 |
| 15:30 | Up | +0.062% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791646200 |
| 15:45 | Up | +0.013% | $3.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791647100 |
| 16:00 | Down | -0.020% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791648000 |
| 16:15 | Down | -0.033% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791648900 |
| 16:30 | Up | +0.055% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791649800 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.046% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791650700 |
| 17:00 | Up | +0.059% | $6.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791651600 |
| 17:15 | Down | -0.0066% | $6.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791652500 |
| 17:30 | Up | +0.092% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791653400 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.029% | $8.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791654300 |
| 18:00 | Down | -0.063% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791655200 |
| 18:15 | Down | -0.051% | $14.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791656100 |
| 18:30 | Up | +0.010% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791657000 |
| 18:45 | Down | +0.0061% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791657900 |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.0027% | $2.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791658800 |
| 19:15 | Up | +0.016% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791659700 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.049% | $10.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791660600 |
| 19:45 | Up | +0.0016% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791661500 |
| 20:00 | Down | -0.034% | $7.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791662400 |
| 20:15 | Down | -0.019% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791663300 |
| 20:30 | Up | +0.041% | $1.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791664200 |
| 20:45 | Down | -0.037% | $2.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791665100 |
| 21:00 | Down | -0.022% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791666000 |
| 21:15 | Up | +0.037% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791666900 |
| 21:30 | Up | +0.034% | $5.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791667800 |
| 21:45 | Down | -0.038% | $5.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791668700 |
| 22:00 | Down | -0.013% | $5.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791669600 |
| 22:15 | Up | +0.015% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791670500 |
| 22:30 | Up | +0.0031% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791671400 |
| 22:45 | Up | +0.050% | $10.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791672300 |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.041% | $1.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791673200 |
| 23:15 | Down | -0.012% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791674100 |
| 23:30 | Down | -0.032% | $1.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791675000 |
| 23:45 | Down | -0.041% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791675900 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.