Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 1, 2026
95 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 50 resolved Up and 45 resolved Down, or 52.6% Up. The longest run was 6 Up in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was -0.815%, in btc-updown-15m-1790838900. PolyTest recorded $798.5K of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Down | -0.128% | $14.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790812800 |
| 00:15 | Down | -0.034% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1790813700 |
| 00:30 | Up | +0.105% | $3.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790814600 |
| 00:45 | Down | -0.074% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790815500 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.100% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790816400 |
| 01:15 | Up | +0.047% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790817300 |
| 01:30 | Down | -0.040% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790818200 |
| 01:45 | Down | -0.103% | $2.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790819100 |
| 02:00 | Up | +0.097% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790820000 |
| 02:15 | Down | -0.062% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790820900 |
| 02:30 | Down | -0.118% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790821800 |
| 02:45 | Up | +0.054% | $6.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790822700 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.012% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790823600 |
| 03:15 | Up | +0.048% | $2.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790824500 |
| 03:30 | Up | +0.223% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790825400 |
| 03:45 | Up | +0.053% | $6.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790826300 |
| 04:00 | Up | +0.209% | $16.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790827200 |
| 04:15 | Down | -0.077% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790828100 |
| 04:30 | Up | +0.080% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790829000 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.211% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790829900 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.163% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790830800 |
| 05:15 | Up | +0.056% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790831700 |
| 05:30 | Down | -0.081% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790832600 |
| 05:45 | Up | +0.094% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790833500 |
| 06:00 | Up | +0.100% | $9.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790834400 |
| 06:15 | Down | -0.034% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790835300 |
| 06:30 | Down | -0.219% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790836200 |
| 06:45 | Down | -0.044% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790837100 |
| 07:00 | Down | -0.079% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790838000 |
| 07:15 | Down | -0.815% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790838900 |
| 07:30 | Up | +0.213% | $9.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790839800 |
| 07:45 | Down | -0.149% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790840700 |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.053% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790841600 |
| 08:15 | Up | +0.054% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790842500 |
| 08:30 | Up | +0.079% | $6.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790843400 |
| 08:45 | Up | +0.087% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790844300 |
| 09:00 | Up | +0.148% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790845200 |
| 09:15 | Up | +0.091% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1790846100 |
| 09:30 | Up | +0.146% | $10.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790847000 |
| 09:45 | Down | -0.123% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790847900 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.097% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790848800 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.017% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790849700 |
| 10:30 | Up | +0.239% | $4.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790850600 |
| 10:45 | Up | +0.105% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790851500 |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.115% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790852400 |
| 11:15 | Down | +0.010% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790853300 |
| 11:30 | Up | +0.097% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790854200 |
| 11:45 | Down | -0.053% | $5.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790855100 |
| 12:00 | Up | +0.104% | $5.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790856000 |
| 12:15 | Down | -0.103% | $21.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790856900 |
| 12:30 | Down | -0.0098% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790857800 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.193% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790858700 |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.256% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790859600 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.055% | $8.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790860500 |
| 13:30 | Up | +0.553% | $20.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790861400 |
| 13:45 | Up | +0.011% | $7.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790862300 |
| 14:00 | Down | -0.179% | $10.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790863200 |
| 14:15 | Up | +0.380% | $14.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790864100 |
| 14:30 | Down | -0.113% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790865000 |
| 14:45 | Down | +0.033% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790865900 |
| 15:00 | Up | +0.040% | $6.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790866800 |
| 15:30 | Down | -0.244% | $8.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790868600 |
| 15:45 | Up | +0.332% | $8.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790869500 |
| 16:00 | Up | +0.181% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790870400 |
| 16:15 | Up | -0.015% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790871300 |
| 16:30 | Up | +0.030% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790872200 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.158% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790873100 |
| 17:00 | Up | +0.278% | $11.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790874000 |
| 17:15 | Up | +0.577% | $10.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790874900 |
| 17:30 | Up | +0.166% | $15.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790875800 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.177% | $8.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790876700 |
| 18:00 | Up | -0.029% | $10.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790877600 |
| 18:15 | Down | -0.098% | $9.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790878500 |
| 18:30 | Up | +0.196% | $14.3K | btc-updown-15m-1790879400 |
| 18:45 | Down | -0.196% | $7.3K | btc-updown-15m-1790880300 |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.0060% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790881200 |
| 19:15 | Down | -0.219% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790882100 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.039% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1790883000 |
| 19:45 | Up | +0.033% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790883900 |
| 20:00 | Up | +0.134% | $8.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790884800 |
| 20:15 | Down | -0.020% | $30.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790885700 |
| 20:30 | Down | -0.183% | $5.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790886600 |
| 20:45 | Up | +0.030% | $7.8K | btc-updown-15m-1790887500 |
| 21:00 | Up | -0.016% | $6.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790888400 |
| 21:15 | Down | -0.032% | $9.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790889300 |
| 21:30 | Down | -0.110% | $9.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790890200 |
| 21:45 | Up | +0.059% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790891100 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.240% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1790892000 |
| 22:15 | Down | -0.060% | $9.1K | btc-updown-15m-1790892900 |
| 22:30 | Down | -0.023% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790893800 |
| 22:45 | Up | +0.078% | $25.5K | btc-updown-15m-1790894700 |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.092% | $10.6K | btc-updown-15m-1790895600 |
| 23:15 | Up | +0.079% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1790896500 |
| 23:30 | Up | +0.121% | $42.9K | btc-updown-15m-1790897400 |
| 23:45 | Up | +0.049% | $28.7K | btc-updown-15m-1790898300 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.