Bitcoin 1-hour Up/Down results, October 15, 2026
24 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-1hr markets opened on this day (UTC). 8 resolved Up and 16 resolved Down, or 33.3% Up. The longest run was 6 Down in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was +2.092%, in bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-10am-et. PolyTest recorded $584.5K of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Down | -0.025% | $10.4K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-14-2026-8pm-et |
| 01:00 | Down | -0.020% | $19.4K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-14-2026-9pm-et |
| 02:00 | Down | -0.149% | $30.4K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-14-2026-10pm-et |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.724% | $24.3K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-14-2026-11pm-et |
| 04:00 | Up | +0.826% | $22.8K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-12am-et |
| 05:00 | Down | -1.233% | $22.4K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-1am-et |
| 06:00 | Up | +0.375% | $17.2K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-2am-et |
| 07:00 | Up | +0.792% | $17.2K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-3am-et |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.201% | $18.8K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-4am-et |
| 09:00 | Down | -0.134% | $19.3K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-5am-et |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.271% | $44.9K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-6am-et |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.075% | $24.9K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-7am-et |
| 12:00 | Down | -0.519% | $43.1K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-8am-et |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.439% | $41.8K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-9am-et |
| 14:00 | Up | +2.092% | $35.9K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-10am-et |
| 15:00 | Up | +0.678% | $28.1K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-11am-et |
| 16:00 | Down | -0.383% | $29.2K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-12pm-et |
| 17:00 | Up | +0.393% | $21.5K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-1pm-et |
| 18:00 | Down | -0.032% | $22.7K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-2pm-et |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.025% | $22.2K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-3pm-et |
| 20:00 | Down | -0.337% | $12.6K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-4pm-et |
| 21:00 | Up | +0.382% | $16.3K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-5pm-et |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.041% | $20.1K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-6pm-et |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.276% | $19.3K | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-15-2026-7pm-et |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.