Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 19, 2026
96 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 49 resolved Up and 47 resolved Down, or 51.0% Up. The longest run was 6 Up in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was -0.429%, in btc-updown-15m-1792404900. PolyTest recorded $288.1K of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Down | +0.035% | $30 | btc-updown-15m-1792368000 |
| 00:15 | Up | +0.053% | $248 | btc-updown-15m-1792368900 |
| 00:30 | Up | +0.292% | $233 | btc-updown-15m-1792369800 |
| 00:45 | Down | -0.142% | $308 | btc-updown-15m-1792370700 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.212% | $477 | btc-updown-15m-1792371600 |
| 01:15 | Up | -0.014% | $221 | btc-updown-15m-1792372500 |
| 01:30 | Up | +0.070% | $383 | btc-updown-15m-1792373400 |
| 01:45 | Down | -0.092% | $559 | btc-updown-15m-1792374300 |
| 02:00 | Up | +0.152% | $278 | btc-updown-15m-1792375200 |
| 02:15 | Down | -0.238% | $504 | btc-updown-15m-1792376100 |
| 02:30 | Up | +0.224% | $1.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792377000 |
| 02:45 | Up | +0.187% | $24.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792377900 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.111% | $12.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792378800 |
| 03:15 | Down | -0.067% | $16.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792379700 |
| 03:30 | Down | -0.050% | $14.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792380600 |
| 03:45 | Down | +0.0020% | $158 | btc-updown-15m-1792381500 |
| 04:00 | Down | -0.043% | $62 | btc-updown-15m-1792382400 |
| 04:15 | Up | +0.0029% | $32 | btc-updown-15m-1792383300 |
| 04:30 | Up | +0.342% | $14 | btc-updown-15m-1792384200 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.0076% | $112 | btc-updown-15m-1792385100 |
| 05:00 | Down | -0.177% | $26.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792386000 |
| 05:15 | Up | +0.055% | $205 | btc-updown-15m-1792386900 |
| 05:30 | Up | -0.0033% | $59 | btc-updown-15m-1792387800 |
| 05:45 | Up | +0.099% | $241 | btc-updown-15m-1792388700 |
| 06:00 | Up | +0.024% | $12.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792389600 |
| 06:15 | Down | -0.043% | $214 | btc-updown-15m-1792390500 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.100% | $51 | btc-updown-15m-1792391400 |
| 06:45 | Up | +0.027% | $512 | btc-updown-15m-1792392300 |
| 07:00 | Down | -0.023% | $78 | btc-updown-15m-1792393200 |
| 07:15 | Up | +0.070% | $267 | btc-updown-15m-1792394100 |
| 07:30 | Up | +0.0065% | $72 | btc-updown-15m-1792395000 |
| 07:45 | Down | -0.196% | $284 | btc-updown-15m-1792395900 |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.047% | $97 | btc-updown-15m-1792396800 |
| 08:15 | Up | +0.118% | $26 | btc-updown-15m-1792397700 |
| 08:30 | Up | +0.128% | $95 | btc-updown-15m-1792398600 |
| 08:45 | Down | -0.079% | $69 | btc-updown-15m-1792399500 |
| 09:00 | Down | +0.0086% | $206 | btc-updown-15m-1792400400 |
| 09:15 | Up | +0.183% | $65 | btc-updown-15m-1792401300 |
| 09:30 | Up | +0.029% | $419 | btc-updown-15m-1792402200 |
| 09:45 | Down | -0.290% | $347 | btc-updown-15m-1792403100 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.088% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792404000 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.429% | $51 | btc-updown-15m-1792404900 |
| 10:30 | Up | +0.077% | $139 | btc-updown-15m-1792405800 |
| 10:45 | Down | +0.031% | $386 | btc-updown-15m-1792406700 |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.258% | $147 | btc-updown-15m-1792407600 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.026% | $132 | btc-updown-15m-1792408500 |
| 11:30 | Up | +0.096% | $141 | btc-updown-15m-1792409400 |
| 11:45 | Up | +0.053% | $20 | btc-updown-15m-1792410300 |
| 12:00 | Up | +0.195% | $3.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792411200 |
| 12:15 | Up | +0.053% | $811 | btc-updown-15m-1792412100 |
| 12:30 | Up | +0.024% | $178 | btc-updown-15m-1792413000 |
| 12:45 | Down | +0.025% | $144 | btc-updown-15m-1792413900 |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.078% | $78 | btc-updown-15m-1792414800 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.042% | $158 | btc-updown-15m-1792415700 |
| 13:30 | Down | -0.235% | $31 | btc-updown-15m-1792416600 |
| 13:45 | Down | -0.224% | $640 | btc-updown-15m-1792417500 |
| 14:00 | Up | +0.139% | $269 | btc-updown-15m-1792418400 |
| 14:15 | Down | -0.136% | $1.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792419300 |
| 14:30 | Down | -0.159% | $45 | btc-updown-15m-1792420200 |
| 14:45 | Up | +0.366% | $613 | btc-updown-15m-1792421100 |
| 15:00 | Up | -0.086% | $13.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792422000 |
| 15:15 | Up | +0.200% | $4 | btc-updown-15m-1792422900 |
| 15:30 | Down | -0.391% | $438 | btc-updown-15m-1792423800 |
| 15:45 | Down | -0.161% | $379 | btc-updown-15m-1792424700 |
| 16:00 | Up | +0.140% | $22 | btc-updown-15m-1792425600 |
| 16:15 | Up | -0.022% | $604 | btc-updown-15m-1792426500 |
| 16:30 | Down | -0.011% | $443 | btc-updown-15m-1792427400 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.051% | $5 | btc-updown-15m-1792428300 |
| 17:00 | Down | -0.055% | $507 | btc-updown-15m-1792429200 |
| 17:15 | Up | +0.062% | $338 | btc-updown-15m-1792430100 |
| 17:30 | Down | -0.0056% | $242 | btc-updown-15m-1792431000 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.071% | $60 | btc-updown-15m-1792431900 |
| 18:00 | Up | +0.130% | $219 | btc-updown-15m-1792432800 |
| 18:15 | Down | -0.253% | $21.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792433700 |
| 18:30 | Up | +0.115% | $280 | btc-updown-15m-1792434600 |
| 18:45 | Up | +0.051% | $525 | btc-updown-15m-1792435500 |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.084% | $342 | btc-updown-15m-1792436400 |
| 19:15 | Up | +0.103% | $38 | btc-updown-15m-1792437300 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.113% | $103 | btc-updown-15m-1792438200 |
| 19:45 | Down | -0.244% | $579 | btc-updown-15m-1792439100 |
| 20:00 | Up | +0.153% | $429 | btc-updown-15m-1792440000 |
| 20:15 | Up | +0.024% | $219 | btc-updown-15m-1792440900 |
| 20:30 | Up | -0.0072% | $17.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792441800 |
| 20:45 | Down | -0.0053% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792442700 |
| 21:00 | Up | +0.190% | $13.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792443600 |
| 21:15 | Down | -0.116% | $16.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792444500 |
| 21:30 | Down | -0.020% | $199 | btc-updown-15m-1792445400 |
| 21:45 | Down | -0.015% | $40 | btc-updown-15m-1792446300 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.116% | $33.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792447200 |
| 22:15 | Down | -0.017% | $524 | btc-updown-15m-1792448100 |
| 22:30 | Down | -0.049% | $29.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792449000 |
| 22:45 | Down | -0.032% | $129 | btc-updown-15m-1792449900 |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.036% | $479 | btc-updown-15m-1792450800 |
| 23:15 | Up | +0.0089% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792451700 |
| 23:30 | Up | +0.044% | $288 | btc-updown-15m-1792452600 |
| 23:45 | Down | -0.159% | $16 | btc-updown-15m-1792453500 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.