Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 16, 2026
96 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 47 resolved Up and 49 resolved Down, or 49.0% Up. The longest run was 5 Up in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was +0.776%, in btc-updown-15m-1792171800. PolyTest recorded $1.2M of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Up | +0.156% | $20.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792108800 |
| 00:15 | Up | +0.030% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792109700 |
| 00:30 | Up | +0.028% | $101.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792110600 |
| 00:45 | Down | -0.096% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792111500 |
| 01:00 | Up | +0.076% | $3.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792112400 |
| 01:15 | Down | -0.258% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792113300 |
| 01:30 | Down | -0.022% | $9.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792114200 |
| 01:45 | Down | -0.102% | $1.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792115100 |
| 02:00 | Up | +0.072% | $8.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792116000 |
| 02:15 | Down | -0.089% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792116900 |
| 02:30 | Up | +0.140% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792117800 |
| 02:45 | Down | -0.181% | $14.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792118700 |
| 03:00 | Up | +0.159% | $2.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792119600 |
| 03:15 | Down | -0.164% | $3.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792120500 |
| 03:30 | Down | -0.186% | $11.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792121400 |
| 03:45 | Up | +0.287% | $11.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792122300 |
| 04:00 | Down | -0.098% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792123200 |
| 04:15 | Up | +0.059% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792124100 |
| 04:30 | Down | -0.055% | $2.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792125000 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.136% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792125900 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.170% | $18.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792126800 |
| 05:15 | Down | -0.117% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792127700 |
| 05:30 | Down | -0.134% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792128600 |
| 05:45 | Up | +0.088% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792129500 |
| 06:00 | Down | -0.169% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792130400 |
| 06:15 | Up | +0.041% | $2.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792131300 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.114% | $14.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792132200 |
| 06:45 | Up | +0.041% | $6.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792133100 |
| 07:00 | Up | +0.019% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792134000 |
| 07:15 | Up | +0.029% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792134900 |
| 07:30 | Down | +0.011% | $21.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792135800 |
| 07:45 | Up | +0.076% | $4.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792136700 |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.046% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792137600 |
| 08:15 | Down | +0.018% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792138500 |
| 08:30 | Up | +0.062% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792139400 |
| 08:45 | Down | -0.084% | $4.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792140300 |
| 09:00 | Up | +0.023% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792141200 |
| 09:15 | Down | -0.133% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792142100 |
| 09:30 | Down | -0.017% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792143000 |
| 09:45 | Down | -0.144% | $4.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792143900 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.122% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792144800 |
| 10:15 | Up | +0.128% | $11.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792145700 |
| 10:30 | Up | +0.235% | $5.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792146600 |
| 10:45 | Up | -0.0041% | $7.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792147500 |
| 11:00 | Up | +0.533% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792148400 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.200% | $12.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792149300 |
| 11:30 | Down | -0.150% | $8.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792150200 |
| 11:45 | Down | -0.078% | $2.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792151100 |
| 12:00 | Down | -0.487% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792152000 |
| 12:15 | Up | +0.124% | $11.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792152900 |
| 12:30 | Down | -0.071% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792153800 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.280% | $17.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792154700 |
| 13:00 | Down | -0.0037% | $31.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792155600 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.039% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792156500 |
| 13:30 | Down | -0.033% | $31.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792157400 |
| 13:45 | Up | +0.057% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792158300 |
| 14:00 | Up | +0.208% | $4.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792159200 |
| 14:15 | Up | +0.182% | $5.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792160100 |
| 14:30 | Down | -0.041% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792161000 |
| 14:45 | Down | -0.418% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792161900 |
| 15:00 | Down | -0.294% | $5.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792162800 |
| 15:15 | Down | -0.164% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792163700 |
| 15:30 | Up | +0.093% | $31.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792164600 |
| 15:45 | Down | -0.391% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792165500 |
| 16:00 | Up | +0.304% | $36.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792166400 |
| 16:15 | Up | +0.068% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792167300 |
| 16:30 | Down | -0.121% | $16.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792168200 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.148% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792169100 |
| 17:00 | Down | -0.342% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792170000 |
| 17:15 | Down | -0.320% | $30.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792170900 |
| 17:30 | Up | +0.776% | $40.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792171800 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.400% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792172700 |
| 18:00 | Up | +0.139% | $18.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792173600 |
| 18:15 | Up | +0.096% | $2.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792174500 |
| 18:30 | Down | -0.375% | $16.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792175400 |
| 18:45 | Up | +0.055% | $13.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792176300 |
| 19:00 | Up | +0.317% | $2.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792177200 |
| 19:15 | Up | +0.243% | $6.6K | btc-updown-15m-1792178100 |
| 19:30 | Down | -0.306% | $4.9K | btc-updown-15m-1792179000 |
| 19:45 | Up | +0.293% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792179900 |
| 20:00 | Down | -0.0087% | $33.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792180800 |
| 20:15 | Up | +0.078% | $5.1K | btc-updown-15m-1792181700 |
| 20:30 | Up | +0.091% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792182600 |
| 20:45 | Up | +0.015% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792183500 |
| 21:00 | Down | -0.012% | $14.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792184400 |
| 21:15 | Up | +0.011% | $3.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792185300 |
| 21:30 | Down | -0.031% | $4.5K | btc-updown-15m-1792186200 |
| 21:45 | Down | -0.032% | $1.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792187100 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.111% | $7.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792188000 |
| 22:15 | Up | +0.029% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792188900 |
| 22:30 | Up | -0.037% | $28.0K | btc-updown-15m-1792189800 |
| 22:45 | Down | +0.023% | $4.3K | btc-updown-15m-1792190700 |
| 23:00 | Up | -0.011% | $11.7K | btc-updown-15m-1792191600 |
| 23:15 | Down | -0.123% | $143.2K | btc-updown-15m-1792192500 |
| 23:30 | Down | -0.053% | $9.8K | btc-updown-15m-1792193400 |
| 23:45 | Down | -0.014% | $141.4K | btc-updown-15m-1792194300 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.