Bitcoin 15-minute Up/Down results, October 8, 2026
96 resolved Polymarket btc-updown-15m markets opened on this day (UTC). 41 resolved Up and 55 resolved Down, or 42.7% Up. The longest run was 5 Down in a row. The largest recorded spot move in a single window was -0.993%, in btc-updown-15m-1791472500. PolyTest recorded $1.4M of volume across them.
| Opens (UTC) | Result | Spot move | Recorded volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Down | -0.079% | $4.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791417600 |
| 00:15 | Up | +0.0017% | $80.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791418500 |
| 00:30 | Up | +0.030% | $58.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791419400 |
| 00:45 | Up | +0.103% | $7.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791420300 |
| 01:00 | Down | +0.0028% | $24.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791421200 |
| 01:15 | Down | -0.113% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791422100 |
| 01:30 | Down | -0.028% | $4.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791423000 |
| 01:45 | Down | -0.188% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791423900 |
| 02:00 | Down | -0.0020% | $11.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791424800 |
| 02:15 | Up | +0.070% | $6.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791425700 |
| 02:30 | Up | +0.106% | $1.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791426600 |
| 02:45 | Down | -0.101% | $6.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791427500 |
| 03:00 | Down | -0.299% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791428400 |
| 03:15 | Up | +0.048% | $7.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791429300 |
| 03:30 | Down | -0.147% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791430200 |
| 03:45 | Down | -0.100% | $2.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791431100 |
| 04:00 | Down | -0.044% | $3.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791432000 |
| 04:15 | Up | +0.185% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791432900 |
| 04:30 | Down | -0.420% | $5.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791433800 |
| 04:45 | Up | +0.156% | $17.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791434700 |
| 05:00 | Up | +0.149% | $3.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791435600 |
| 05:15 | Up | +0.171% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791436500 |
| 05:30 | Down | -0.040% | $4.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791437400 |
| 05:45 | Down | -0.244% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791438300 |
| 06:00 | Up | +0.279% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791439200 |
| 06:15 | Down | -0.380% | $1.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791440100 |
| 06:30 | Up | +0.124% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791441000 |
| 06:45 | Up | +0.212% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791441900 |
| 07:00 | Up | +0.220% | $17.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791442800 |
| 07:15 | Up | +0.105% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791443700 |
| 07:30 | Down | -0.059% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791444600 |
| 07:45 | Down | -0.123% | $1.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791445500 |
| 08:00 | Down | -0.048% | $3.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791446400 |
| 08:15 | Up | +0.044% | $6.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791447300 |
| 08:30 | Down | -0.152% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791448200 |
| 08:45 | Down | +0.0006% | $9.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791449100 |
| 09:00 | Up | +0.198% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791450000 |
| 09:15 | Down | -0.0097% | $12.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791450900 |
| 09:30 | Up | +0.113% | $8.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791451800 |
| 09:45 | Up | +0.0013% | $3.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791452700 |
| 10:00 | Down | -0.058% | $2.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791453600 |
| 10:15 | Down | -0.348% | $5.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791454500 |
| 10:30 | Down | -0.091% | $7.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791455400 |
| 10:45 | Up | +0.023% | $11.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791456300 |
| 11:00 | Down | -0.305% | $39.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791457200 |
| 11:15 | Up | +0.093% | $36.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791458100 |
| 11:30 | Up | +0.077% | $32.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791459000 |
| 11:45 | Down | -0.144% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791459900 |
| 12:00 | Down | -0.114% | $9.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791460800 |
| 12:15 | Up | +0.079% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791461700 |
| 12:30 | Down | -0.144% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791462600 |
| 12:45 | Down | -0.047% | $10.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791463500 |
| 13:00 | Up | +0.197% | $8.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791464400 |
| 13:15 | Down | -0.135% | $30.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791465300 |
| 13:30 | Down | -0.404% | $9.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791466200 |
| 13:45 | Up | +0.178% | $8.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791467100 |
| 14:00 | Up | +0.443% | $3.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791468000 |
| 14:15 | Up | +0.222% | $19.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791468900 |
| 14:30 | Down | -0.194% | $21.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791469800 |
| 14:45 | Up | +0.168% | $6.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791470700 |
| 15:00 | Down | -0.649% | $8.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791471600 |
| 15:15 | Down | -0.993% | $8.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791472500 |
| 15:30 | Down | -0.153% | $16.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791473400 |
| 15:45 | Down | -0.226% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791474300 |
| 16:00 | Up | -0.028% | $20.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791475200 |
| 16:15 | Up | +0.352% | $27.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791476100 |
| 16:30 | Down | -0.022% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791477000 |
| 16:45 | Down | -0.410% | $6.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791477900 |
| 17:00 | Down | -0.031% | $16.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791478800 |
| 17:15 | Down | -0.250% | $7.6K | btc-updown-15m-1791479700 |
| 17:30 | Up | +0.134% | $7.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791480600 |
| 17:45 | Down | -0.123% | $4.5K | btc-updown-15m-1791481500 |
| 18:00 | Down | +0.070% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791482400 |
| 18:15 | Up | +0.792% | $7.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791483300 |
| 18:30 | Up | +0.117% | $4.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791484200 |
| 18:45 | Down | -0.029% | $3.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791485100 |
| 19:00 | Down | -0.0058% | $51.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791486000 |
| 19:15 | Up | +0.231% | $20.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791486900 |
| 19:30 | Up | +0.063% | $25.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791487800 |
| 19:45 | Up | +0.031% | $5.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791488700 |
| 20:00 | Up | +0.141% | $8.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791489600 |
| 20:15 | Down | -0.148% | $8.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791490500 |
| 20:30 | Up | +0.068% | $7.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791491400 |
| 20:45 | Down | -0.0014% | $5.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791492300 |
| 21:00 | Down | -0.076% | $9.4K | btc-updown-15m-1791493200 |
| 21:15 | Down | -0.088% | $5.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791494100 |
| 21:30 | Up | +0.022% | $5.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791495000 |
| 21:45 | Down | +0.0053% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791495900 |
| 22:00 | Up | +0.154% | $6.9K | btc-updown-15m-1791496800 |
| 22:15 | Down | -0.048% | $2.7K | btc-updown-15m-1791497700 |
| 22:30 | Up | +0.157% | $8.3K | btc-updown-15m-1791498600 |
| 22:45 | Down | -0.029% | $62.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791499500 |
| 23:00 | Down | -0.072% | $4.2K | btc-updown-15m-1791500400 |
| 23:15 | Down | +0.0051% | $67.8K | btc-updown-15m-1791501300 |
| 23:30 | Down | -0.042% | $178.0K | btc-updown-15m-1791502200 |
| 23:45 | Down | -0.064% | $45.1K | btc-updown-15m-1791503100 |
Spot move is the change in the price PolyTest recorded. Polymarket settles each market on its own source, so a small move can point the opposite way to the result. Paste any slug into the market lookup for its window and reference prices.